(2023-07-02, 05:04 PM)Brian Wrote: I hope this is the right place to post this. I was reading the comments under a Dr Douglas Axe video and I came across this. I'm not a statistician or mathematician so I can't vouch for its accuracy. Maybe somebody else can look at this.
Here is the video in case it is relevant. I haven't seen it yet.
Based on the quote you gave, I think you can understand the essence of the problem. Those probabilities are inconceivably small. For example, 1/10^80 means 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001
I want to talk about the time after life started and is evolving. No scientists claim to have worked out the first part - how did life get started (and indeed some try to dodge the problem by proposing that life evolved even further back in time and that the Earth was seeded with life from space), but they think/pretend that they do have a solution to how things evolved from then on. The phase after life kicked off is the most interesting because for years they have pushed the concept of evolution by natural selection by ignoring the difficulties with that idea. It is often called RM+NS, standing for random mutations followed by natural selection.
I think Darwin's theory wasn't unreasonable when he proposed it, because nobody had any idea what a gene really was. However once genes were identified (roughly) as strings of nucleic acids (DNA) and random mutations were identified as point damage to a string, or sometimes the deletion/swapping of bits on that chain, there was a huge problem.
Let's say you try to imagine one gene changing by random mutations into another gene (G1 => G2). The problem is that you can't do that transformation in one step, you have to do it step by step, and most of the way the gene in question is neither one thing or the other and it is completely useless to the body - so natural selection is impossible. Once you realise this (and I am sure plenty of conventional biologists have thought it but suppressed it) Darwni's theory just can't possibly work. If you break a watch (say), and then break it in another way the result is just the same - a broken watch.
Once genes were recognised as strings of nucleotides (chemicals) Darwin's theory should just have been abandoned.
I'd like everyone to realise just how stupid it is to believe in DNA-genes and also believe in evolution by natural selection.
David