In a recent Psi Encyclopedia entry on "Observational Theories of Psi," Brian Millar discussed briefly whether the Global Consciousness Project data indicate experimenter psi, and then commented:
"The conclusive piece of evidence would be an inability by other people to replicate the GCP effect: a cell phone app being prepared independently may settle the matter definitively."
https://psi-encyclopedia.spr.ac.uk/artic...eories-psi
Presumably this refers to "Entangled," a mobile phone app that was being developed by Adam M. Curry and was due to be launched three years ago:
https://noetic.org/blog/entangled-the-co...sness-app/
I see that funding of £14,000 of a target of £80,000 was raised through Indiegogo, and that there was a fair amount of publicity about the impending launch in 2016, but apart from a comment that June on Twitter that they were "a little behind," I can't work out what happened.
I wonder if anyone knows more?
(2019-02-02, 01:59 PM)Chris Wrote: [ -> ]Roger Nelson also kindly sent me a link to a short paper by him entitled "Evoked Potentials and GCP Event Data", which draws a parallel between the transient variations of electrical potential in the body following stimuli and the time-varying correlations during events in the GCP data. The idea is that this may suggest an alternative interpretation of the results found by Peter Bancel, which he interpreted as evidence of a psi-mediated experimenter effect related to the selection of the start and end points of the events:
http://global-mind.org/papers/pdf/event....ntials.pdf
Here is a talk by Roger Nelson given at the Society for Scientific Exploration's Conference last year, in which he elaborates on this idea of comparing evoked potentials with the GCP data:
The part I definitely disagree with is the characterisation as an example of the gamber's fallacy of Peter Bancel's argument that psi-mediated selection of the start and end points of events, to maximise the signal during the events, would result in a smaller signal immediately before the start points and immediately after the end points. I'm sure Bancel is correct on that general point.
However, as discussed above, the detail of the time-variation doesn't seem consistent to me with the end point selection scenario. And I think some of the data plots given by Nelson in this talk reinforce that impression.
Here are a couple of exploratory attempts to see whether the GCP network is being affected by the coronavirus pandemic.
One, by Roger Nelson, looks at the periods when the US stock market was trading, during the week of 11-17 March when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by about 15%:
http://global-mind.org/papers/pdf/Dow.Mar11to16.pdf
The other, by Bryan J. Williams, looks at the day - 11 March - when the WHO declared a pandemic (this is also the first day that Nelson looked at):
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=...1307644480
Both emphasise that these are exploratory investigations (unlike the formal GCP hypothesis series, which ended several years ago). But they do show some apparent deviations from chance behaviour, particularly on 11 March. If I understand correctly, these are mostly in the opposite direction from that seen on average for the main series of pre-specified "global events". That is, instead of the outputs of the different random number generators being slightly more correlated with one another than would be expected, they are slightly less correlated.
In the blog post
Global Consciousness and the Coronavirus Crisis, Roger Nelson also shares details about further studies of the data, "
look[ing] at the seven-hour long period when the US stock market is open, on several days beginning with March 11, 2020", the latest of which is the 27th of March.
While cautioning that these are informal studies, he writes that "
The results for March 11-13, 16, and 17 showed strong departures on four days, one upward and three downward. The fifth case showed typical random variation" and notes that "
The odds against chance for such a departure [as seen in the data from March 17] are about 50 to 1."
He also looked at the data for two hours during Pope Francis's special Urbi et Orbi beginning on Friday, March 27th at 6:00pm (CET), and found "
a positive departure from what we would expect which supports GCP’s hypothesis".